FCM Risk Assessment – Trust and Verify

This post was originally written for The Journal of the National Introducing Brokers Association.

The recent insolvencies of MF Global and PFGBest, along with the near miss of Knight Capital, have sent customers scrambling to confirm the safety of their property and the financial health of their brokers. Prior to October 2011, most futures customers never gave the solvency of their FCM a second thought. Customers now find themselves on the hunt for the canary in the coal mine. In a financial world fraught with rogue traders, Ponzi schemers and high frequency meltdowns, what is the best approach for detecting a Corzine or Wasendorf at your FCM?

The quick answer is: there is no quick answer. You must first consider what type of trader you are and on what exchanges you will be trading. There are a number of additional factors to consider, most of which are changing as regulators react to recent collapses. Many reforms are also in the pipeline which may change the tools with which to assess an FCM. It is possible in the next 12 months that various reform initiatives, from third party custody of segregated funds to a customer protection fund, will change the way the futures industry does business and alter how customers interact with their FCM. While we await these reforms, there are some things to consider in order to minimize your risk.

If you are using a broker whose parent firm is publicly traded, there are some tools at your disposal. Publicly available ratings from independent ratings agencies can give you some metrics on the financial health of the parent firm. However, much like the regulators, the ratings agencies are often too late to be of use. Still, customers should be looking at their FCM’s parent company for signs of distress. These can include hiccups in quarterly earnings, fluctuations in stock prices, fluctuations in corporate bond yields, changes in capital structure, changes in management, high risk proprietary investments, fluctuations in net capital and regulatory issues to name a few.

If you are using a privately-held firm, the alchemy gets a little trickier. Ultimately, one must rely on the stated health of the firm–and Mr. Wasendorf would have told you that his firm was never better on July 9, 2012. Still, you can ask your broker for financial statements and audit reports. In some cases, the balance sheet of privately-held FCMs is not as relevant as the balance sheets of their trading counterparties. As some non-clearing FCMs do not handle customer funds, it is important to know who your FCM is clearing through and what banks they are using to house your assets.

You will also want to consider the corporate structure of your FCM. Generally speaking, it is preferable for a customer to be trading through an FCM which is housed in a legally distinct entity. This ‘ring-fencing’ of the FCM from other business lines, such as a broker-dealer operations, will reduce the probability that customer funds could be used for proprietary purposes by the FCM. It will also help contain insolvencies which arise from externalities from affecting customer property (see Refco).

Regardless of the ownership structure of your FCM, you will want to make sure they have a diverse customer base and adequate capital. A firm with narrow customer base may be more exposed to fellow customer risk than more diverse firms. Though a bit behind, the CFTC’s FCM Financial Data is a good place to watch for net capital fluctuations and changes in segregated balances. These release of these reports is likely to speed up as the industry demands more timely access to them.

If you are trading on foreign boards of trade, you will want to know how your funds are transferred to and from foreign exchanges. If your broker is keeping collateral with unaffiliated foreign brokers and banks, that is advantageous to you in a bankruptcy proceeding. Funds kept with foreign subsidiaries of your FCM will get ensnared in local bankruptcy proceedings in an insolvency. Funds held outside your broker’s control will flow back to customers more quickly.

If you are unlucky enough to choose poorly, you will still end up ‘protected’ by the bankruptcy code–which is to say subject to a drawn out, expensive legal proceeding the outcome of which won’t be clear for years to come. Until the aforementioned reforms are in place, customers may want to protect themselves simply by not trusting any broker. Sweep excess balances to SIPC or FDIC insured accounts at unrelated financial institutions. Many FCMs now offer no-cost ACH transfers which can minimize the expense of actively managing the cash in your account. Larger traders will want to consider maintaining multiple trading accounts with unrelated FCMs. Smaller traders may want to use cash instead of specifically identifiable property to margin positions. Cash is much easier to extract in a bankruptcy and it won’t be subject to the liquidation discretion of a Trustee.

President Reagan’s advice to “trust, but verify” has never been more salient. If Russ Wasendorf had been his broker, he might have truncated that to simply “verify”.

The Case for a Customer Protection Fund

This article originally was published in the September 2012 issue of Opalesque Futures Intelligence.

Though it may be cold comfort for PFGBest’s customers and brokers, Mr. Wasendorf’s fraud has changed the conversation in the futures industry.  The debate on how to protect customers has shifted from whether or not account insurance is necessary to what kind of mechanism would provide the greatest benefits for the lowest cost.  Prior to the Peregrine collapse, I recommended that Congress authorize a customer protection fund focused on providing liquidity for the bulk transfer of customer accounts as an FCM collapses into bankruptcy.  I aim to make such a protection fund a reality and I do not think ‘SIPC for futures’ is the best way to get there.

The idea is to get as much customer money away from the bankruptcy process as possible without foisting huge new costs on the backs of an industry already in crisis.  As it stands now, once customers are in bankruptcy things move at the speed of the Trustee, to the discretion of the Trustee and customers pay for the expenses of the Trustee.  Litigation tracks on a time scale of months and years as legal costs soar.  Customers face position liquidation, frozen assets and no communication on when, where or if any of their money will flow back to them.  It is simply best not to be there and a relatively small protection fund would ensure that most assets do not stay there for long.

I welcome the involvement of CFTC Commissioner Chilton and his proposal for a SIPC style mechanism for commodity customers.  While I believe it is a good starting point for a discussion, a SIPC-based model would not address the needs of commodity customers.  Despite having SIPC insurance, MF Global’s securities customers had to wait months for the transfer of their accounts and assets to a new broker.   Three weeks after MF Global’s bankruptcy, no securities accounts had been transferred and no advances had been made from the SIPC protection fund.  Securities customer accounts and assets remained frozen for some time.  In fact, 25% of MF Global’s securities customers were still awaiting transfer over 10 weeks later.  That may be acceptable for someone who owns shares of IBM in an IRA account, but it does not work for a farmer who is short corn in a weather market.  SIPC seeks to protect customer assets from within a bankruptcy proceeding.  Futures customers need a mechanism which clears them from bankruptcy immediately.

The approach I recommend is similar to what commodity exchanges do to protect themselves against FCM default.  Exchanges maintain several guaranty funds into which all clearing members must deposit assets.   These assets can be used to meet obligations of defaulting clearing members.  In the event that an insolvency exceeds the value of the guaranty fund, exchanges maintain liquidity facilities which they may use to provide temporary liquidity.  The assets held by CME guaranty funds total over $4.5 billion.  The CME’s liquidity facility can add another $5 billion to its protection scheme.  This means that the CME has at its disposal almost 7% of the total amount in segregation in the US to combat busted brokers.   That is 22 times the reserve ratio the FDIC presently uses to insure over $4 trillion in bank deposits.  I would say the CME is very well protected against the Corzines and Wasendorfs of the world.

I propose we export this model and strip it down to protect customers from broker default.  A protection fund should be housed in a non-profit entity.  Its primary source of assets should be raised from transaction fees assessed per contract though, like a guaranty fund, it should maintain the ability to make assessments on its members.  Customers will end up footing the bill for the cost of raising a fund no matter how assets are obtained.  At  least a fixed transaction fee would be fully disclosed and would not disadvantage any individual FCM.  With more than 3 billion contracts traded on US exchanges last year, over $30 million could be raised annually for every $0.01 assessed per contract.

The protection fund should focus on providing liquidity to immediately transfer customer assets up to the per-account coverage limits set by the fund.  Priority should be given to transferring positions on a fully margined basis to prevent a messy liquidation from harming customers and endangering markets.

Should a shortfall at an FCM exceed the fund’s assets, it should have a liquidity mechanism at its disposal.  This could be achieved either through the ability to borrow against its cash flow at the Fed’s discount window or via the reinsurance market.  The amount of customer money the fund protects should be tied to the amount of assets it controls, so coverage grows with a few years of good behavior behind us.  The fund should have a cap based on a reserve ratio of 1% to 1.5% of the total held in segregation in the industry, so that it reduces or stops assessing fees when the cap is reached.

It is important that the protection fund be subrogated to customer claims so that it can recoup advances made to customers of a failed FCM.  This is important to help remove the moral hazard inherent with any type of insurance.  The fund should be able to penalize bad actors civilly to ensure it does not pervert financial incentives for FCM executives.

The question then becomes how to make this fund a reality.  Can this be done within the industry or does it require Congressional authority?  I think it can be achieved  either way and the Commodity Customer Coalition has committed to studying the issue with industry leaders to determine the best way forward.

Approaching this without involving Congress would necessitate creating a protection fund in a mutual corporation owned by the exchanges and FCMs.  This company would be similar to a mutual insurance company, acting like a private utility for managing the protection fund.  The owners would agree on assessments for membership, as well as a transaction fee to charge customers for coverage benefits.  The obvious advantage to this approach is that it does not require the proverbial act of Congress to get it done.  It would, however, require extensive cooperation amongst FCMs and exchanges.

The legislative approach would involve obtaining Congressional authority to create a non-profit entity, possibly a Government owned corporation (like SIPC), to act as a customer protection mechanism.  This route may be longer and more contentious, but Congress seems very willing to consider such a proposal.  We will have to wait out the clock on this year’s election and seek the assistance of the 113th Congress.

Ultimately, such a protection fund must work hand in hand with new reforms designed to prevent or minimize the impact of an FCM insolvency.  While I believe insurance is the most important component of a policy response to FCM bankruptcies, it is not a silver bullet.  Alternative methods of segregation, including the tri-party and quad-party models which are in various stages of readiness, will add another important layer of protection for customers which are not reliant on the efficacy of regulators or the morals of CEOs.  Combined with an insurance mechanism, third party segregation and other reforms can restore confidence amongst the industry and mitigate the impact of future FCM failures.

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